Chances and Risks of Miscarriage

on Sep 02, 2012

by Alyssia Granger

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No one wants to think about a miscarriage. But they do happen. Find out your chances of having a miscarriage and the causes for them.

No one wants to think about having a miscarriage. But, the truth is, miscarriages happen. But, just how often do they happen? What are your chances for having a miscarriage? Those are the questions we are going to tackle today. There are so many questions and so much uncertainty regarding miscarriage and pregnancy loss, hopefully we will be able to clear some of them up. Claim Your 20 Free Pregnancy Tests – Click Here

Chances of miscarriage

First of all, it is very important to know that 20% of all pregnancies do end in miscarriage. That is a huge number, and a very sad fact. Of course, with something such as miscarriage, there are no “rules,” no “facts” and no guidelines to go by. These numbers are just estimates and there are no guarantees. However, it is said that the risk of miscarriage is greatest in the first and second weeks of pregnancy, when you are not likely to even know that you are pregnant. This is called an early or chemical miscarriage, and can be the reason for the ‘false positive‘ you are seeing on your pregnancy test.

First & second trimester chances

The chances of miscarriage continue to drop after those first initial weeks, though. After the first two weeks, the chances of miscarriage drop to ten percent. During weeks six through twelve of your pregnancy, the chance of miscarriage drops to only five percent. During the second trimester of your pregnancy, the chance of miscarriage drops once again to only three percent. Of course, none of these numbers are set in stone, just a basic rough estimate for you to go by. That is why so many women wait until 12-13 weeks when they enter the second trimester to share their good news with the world, as their chances of miscarriage or pregnancy loss drop so precipitously at this time. Once this far along, most couples feel pretty certain in their pregnancy at this time.

Causes of miscarriage

There are so many other factors that can go into a woman having a miscarriage, from environmental factors to lifestyle choices. Having a history of ectopic pregnancies or other problems can also really play a role. Having a medical condition can also increase the chances of miscarriage. If you have had prior miscarriages in the past, your chances of miscarriage can also increase. Some experts think that after one miscarriage, the chance of a recurrent miscarriage increases by up to 15%. Similarly, after your second miscarriage, the chance of a third is around 30-40%, and after a fourth miscarriage the chance of another is around 50% or sometimes even higher.

The bottom line

While we know that these statistics may sound alarming, keep in mind that there really isn’t a lot of research in this area yet. The amount of women that seek medical help after miscarriage is really unknown. If you are worried about miscarriage and your chances, you need to speak with your doctor. They can help you navigate through the confusion and help determine what the chances are for your particular situation.

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Chances and Risks of Miscarriage, 4.8 out of 5 based on 5 ratings

Alyssia is mom to 2 giggley twin girls, Sophia and Emma, and son Hunter. She's a Southern girl, passionate about photography, travel and her husband Josh.

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  • Barefootprincess

    me and my partner want to have a baby but we are scared that im going to miscarry again. is there anyting we can do to try to prevent this.

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  • Thank_godbaby

    Never give up!! I wish you the best of luck!!

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  • Madelinehiggins

    I lost my first baby through prem labour and still feel terrible, i was told i had an infection, i had left side pain from the second month but it was only discovered at the 26weeks. Is it advisable to get pregnant soon again ?

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  • Dr. Renee Hanton, MD

    I am sorry for your loss. Generally speaking, your body is fully restored to sustain a pregnancy 2-3 menstrual cycles after a miscarriage. Be sure the original infection causing your pregnancy loss is healed first. Also, be sure to speak with your healthcare provider regarding your concerns.

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  • Maureen Stephens, RN

    Here are a couple of tips that increase possibility of avoiding repeat miscarriage. First is to get screened. Ask your doctor to test you for sexually transmitted diseases (STDs). Untreated, STDs such as gonorrhea, syphilis, HIV, and herpes increase the risk of miscarriage and can harm your baby. Moreover, avoid tobacco, alcohol, and illegal drugs. Although this would seem like a no-brainer, many women don’t realize that in addition to being harmful to the fetus, these substances can cause miscarriage. I highly recommend talking to your doctor. Your doctor might be able to give you insight into what went wrong in your previous pregnancy, and give you some tips to get pregnant again. You will have to go through a thorough physical examination. This is very important in order to establish if the uterus or the cervix suffered any damages due to your previous miscarriage, and if those lesions lessen your chances to get pregnant. Good luck!

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  • fam4us

    I foolishly drank two bottles of wine,smoked a packet of cigarettes, and took diazepam 5mg and zopiclone 7.5mg in the space of ten hrs and found out i was 3 weeks 2 days pregnant approx the following day.i have had two miscarriages in 6 months and this latest pregancy was only three weeks or so after my miscarriage.i really didnt think i would be pregnant that soon.have i any chance of having a healthy pregnancy after this foolish binge? I am 39.i havnt and will not touch any detrimental substance duribg pregnancy and bf.i have a two year old, healthy child.thanks

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  • Nkeiruka Onyeji

    I had a miscarriage on the 25th of july nd on the 31st of august i started bleeding.could it be my normal menstrual flow or could it be that i had a miscarriage again?because a week before the bleeding i noticed i was having cramps on my back,side and beneath my abdomen…also roughly 2wks after the previous miscarriage me nd my hubby ws tryin to see if i can concieve again so we wer havin regular sex…am really confused.
    AM SORRY MY FIRST POST WASN’T STATED PROPERLY..

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